United Airlines has a fleet coverage ratio of 51.9% with Starlink installed and rollout status marked as 'installed'. Despite zero direct observations on the CHO->IAD route, the critical scoring rule mandates a minimum probability equal to the fleet coverage ratio for installed airlines with fleet coverage above 50%. Recent high-confidence news confirms active Starlink deployment on United's mainline and regional fleets, including first mainline flights and regional fleet completion. The lack of route-specific observations is attributed to incomplete flight tracking data rather than absence of Starlink. Therefore, the probability is anchored at the fleet coverage ratio of 0.519 with moderate confidence.

Last calculated May 23, 2026