United Airlines has installed Starlink on 46.5% of its fleet, with rollout status 'installed'. However, no Starlink observations have been recorded on the BNA->MKE route, resulting in a 0% empirical observation ratio. Given the fleet coverage below 50% and zero observations, the probability is anchored to the fleet coverage but adjusted downward to reflect the lack of observed Starlink usage on this route. Recent news confirms Starlink deployment on mainline and regional fleets, and sightings confirm rollout completion on regional US routes, supporting a moderate probability. We assign weights favoring fleet ratio and sightings, with lower weight on observations due to zero data and moderate weight on news.

Last calculated May 25, 2026