United Airlines has installed Starlink on 46.5% of its fleet, with rollout status 'installed'. No Starlink observations on the BNA->LGA route (0%), so empirical observation rate is 0.0. According to scoring rules, for installed status and fleet ratio below 0.5, probability should be anchored to observation rate but can be up to 0.10 higher unless route-specific news supports higher. No direct route-specific sightings or news for BNA->LGA, but general news confirms rollout on mainline and regional fleets. Therefore, probability is anchored near fleet coverage (0.465) but tempered by zero observations, resulting in a conservative estimate of 0.465. Confidence is medium due to lack of direct route observations but strong fleet and rollout evidence.

Last calculated May 25, 2026