United Airlines has installed Starlink on approximately 53.4% of its fleet, with strong rollout evidence especially on regional aircraft and initial mainline deployments. However, there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the AVP->IAD route, and recent news highlights initial mainline flights primarily from Newark and regional routes, not specifically AVP->IAD. Given the fleet coverage and rollout status, the probability is anchored near the fleet ratio but slightly discounted due to lack of direct route observations and no specific news confirming this route. The estimate reflects moderate confidence based on indirect evidence and rollout progress.

Last calculated May 21, 2026