Based on route-level Starlink data (19% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for CMX–ORD
United Airlines has installed Starlink on 46.5% of its fleet, with rollout status 'installed'. However, no Starlink observations exist on the CMX->ORD route, so the empirical observation ratio is 0%. Given the fleet coverage is below 50%, the minimum probability is not forced to fleet ratio, but the probability should be anchored near the observed rate and not exceed it by more than 0.10 without route-specific sightings or news. News confirms Starlink on mainline and regional fleets, but no direct mention of CMX->ORD route. Regional fleet rollout is complete, but CMX->ORD is likely a mainline route. Therefore, probability is anchored near fleet coverage but adjusted downward due to zero observations and lack of route-specific confirmation, resulting in a conservative estimate of 0.465.
Last calculated May 25, 2026
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Prediction (19%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (19% likelihood). CRJ2 coverage (19%) shows how many CRJ2 aircraft have Starlink.
Aircraft recently seen operating this flight
| Date | Tail Number | Route |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | N693BR | CMX → ORD |
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