Based on route-level Starlink data (37% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for IAD–AVP
United Airlines has an installed rollout status with a fleet coverage of 36.7%, which sets a floor for the probability at 0.367. Although there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the IAD-AVP route, the fleet coverage and rollout status indicate a significant presence of Starlink-equipped aircraft. Recent high-confidence news confirms active Starlink deployment on United's mainline and regional fleets, including first flights with Starlink in late 2025 and early 2026. Community sightings confirm the regional fleet rollout is complete. Given the lack of direct observations but strong fleet and news evidence, the probability is anchored at the fleet coverage floor of 0.37 with a 'likely' confidence tier.
Last calculated May 24, 2026
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Prediction (37%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (37% likelihood). E45X coverage (37%) shows how many E45X aircraft have Starlink.
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