Based on route-level Starlink data (53% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for ROC–IAD
United Airlines has installed Starlink on 53.4% of its fleet, with strong rollout progress especially on regional aircraft (300+ equipped) and plans to reach over 800 planes soon. However, there are no direct observations of Starlink on the ROC->IAD route, and the observed rate is 0%. Recent news confirms Starlink on mainline United flights but only on select routes (e.g., EWR->LAS). Given the fleet coverage and rollout status, some aircraft on this route may have Starlink, but without direct observations or route-specific sightings, the probability is anchored conservatively below fleet coverage, around 0.40. This reflects medium confidence due to solid fleet data and news but lack of route-specific empirical confirmation.
Last calculated May 21, 2026
Prediction (53%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (53% likelihood). E45X coverage (53%) shows how many E45X aircraft have Starlink.
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