Based on route-level Starlink data (47% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for ROC–IAD
United Airlines has installed Starlink on 46.5% of its fleet, with rollout status 'installed'. However, no Starlink observations have been recorded on the ROC->IAD route, resulting in a 0% observed rate. Given the fleet coverage is below 50%, the minimum probability is not strictly the fleet ratio, but the observed rate is zero. Conservatively, we anchor the probability near the fleet coverage (0.465) but do not exceed it. Recent news confirms Starlink is active on mainline and regional United flights, supporting a moderate probability. Regional routes are reported as fully rolled out, but ROC->IAD is a mainline route with no direct observations, so we assign a probability close to fleet coverage but not higher. We weigh fleet ratio heavily, observations moderately, and news and sightings lightly.
Last calculated May 25, 2026
Prediction (47%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (47% likelihood). CRJ7 coverage (47%) shows how many CRJ7 aircraft have Starlink.
Aircraft recently seen operating this flight
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