Based on route-level Starlink data (96% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for IAD–ITH
United Airlines has a fleet coverage ratio of 51.9% with Starlink installed and rollout status marked as 'installed'. Despite zero direct observations on the IAD->ITH route, the critical scoring rule mandates a minimum probability equal to the fleet ratio for installed airlines with coverage above 50%. Recent news confirms active Starlink deployment on United's mainline and regional fleets, including first flights with Starlink in late 2025 and early 2026. Community sightings confirm completion of regional fleet rollout by February 2026. Given the lack of direct route observations but strong fleet-wide evidence and rollout status, the probability is anchored at the fleet ratio of 0.519 with a 'likely' confidence tier and medium confidence in estimate.
Last calculated May 23, 2026
Prediction (96%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (96% likelihood). E45X coverage (96%) shows how many E45X aircraft have Starlink.
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