Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
Based on route-level Starlink data (66% likelihood)
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for IAH–MEX
United Airlines' fleet coverage stands at 51% with recent news confirming mainline Starlink rollout (first 737-800 in October 2025, subsequent inaugurals through January 2026) and regional fleet completion by February 2026. The IAH-MEX route uses mainline aircraft where Starlink deployment is actively accelerating. However, zero confirmed Starlink observations on this specific route creates empirical anchor at 0%, which constrains probability upward by the 0.10 buffer rule to ~0.51-0.52. The route likely attracts a mix of equipped and non-equipped mainline narrow-bodies (737s, A320s). Recent news demonstrates United prioritizing mainline routes and US-based departures (EWR, CES flights) for inaugural flights; Mexico routes may see slightly delayed rollout compared to domestic US-heavy routes. Fleet coverage at 51% combined with active deployment trajectory and recent news support a 'likely but not highly confident' assessment, anchored conservatively near the fleet ratio with modest upward adjustment for deployment momentum.
Last calculated May 18, 2026
Prediction (66%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (66% likelihood). A320 coverage (66%) shows how many A320 aircraft have Starlink.
Aircraft recently seen operating this flight
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