Based on route-level Starlink data (52% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for IAH–XNA
United Airlines has an installed rollout status with a fleet coverage of 36.7%, which sets a floor for the probability at 0.367. Although there are zero confirmed Starlink observations on the IAH->XNA route, this is likely due to incomplete flight tracking data rather than absence of Starlink. Recent news confirms active Starlink deployment on United's mainline and regional fleets, including first flights with Starlink in late 2025 and early 2026. Community sightings confirm rollout completion on regional US routes, supporting a probability anchored at fleet coverage. Given no direct observations on this route, the probability is conservatively set at the fleet coverage floor of 0.37 with medium confidence.
Last calculated May 23, 2026
Prediction (52%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (52% likelihood). E45X coverage (52%) shows how many E45X aircraft have Starlink.
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