Based on route-level Starlink data (52% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for IAD–ORF
United Airlines has an installed rollout status with a fleet coverage of 36.7%, which sets a floor for the probability on this route despite zero direct observations. The route IAD->ORF has no observed Starlink flights, but given United's medium confidence rollout status, recent news confirming mainline and regional fleet installations, and community sightings indicating regional fleet rollout completion, the probability should not fall below the fleet coverage ratio. The zero observations likely reflect incomplete flight tracking data rather than absence of Starlink. Therefore, the probability is anchored at the fleet coverage ratio of 0.367 with a 'likely' confidence tier.
Last calculated May 23, 2026
Prediction (52%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (52% likelihood). E45X coverage (52%) shows how many E45X aircraft have Starlink.
Aircraft recently seen operating this flight
| Date | Tail Number | Route |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | N21144 | IAD → ORF |
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