Based on route-level Starlink data (100% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for MSP–IAH
United Airlines has an installed rollout status with a fleet coverage ratio of 51.9%, which mandates a minimum probability floor of 0.519 despite zero direct observations on the MSP->IAH route. The lack of route-specific observations is offset by strong fleet-wide evidence including confirmed installation on over 500 aircraft, recent high-confidence news of mainline Starlink flights starting in late 2025, and community reports confirming completion of regional fleet rollout. Given the zero observations, the probability is anchored at the fleet ratio floor and slightly increased by 0.01 to reflect recent mainline deployment news, but not exceeding the floor by more than 0.10 as per scoring rules.
Last calculated May 23, 2026
Prediction (100%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (100% likelihood). E45X coverage (100%) shows how many E45X aircraft have Starlink.
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