Based on route-level Starlink data (53% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for IAH–SFO
United Airlines has installed Starlink on 53.4% of its fleet, with over 300 regional aircraft equipped and plans to reach 800 by end of 2026. However, there are zero observed flights with Starlink on the IAH->SFO route, and recent news highlights inaugural mainline flights with Starlink on other routes (EWR->LAS, first 737-800 retrofit). Given the lack of direct route observations and that the fleet coverage is moderate, the probability is anchored near the empirical observation rate (0.0) plus a conservative uplift reflecting fleet rollout and news evidence, capped below fleet coverage by 0.10. This yields a probability of 0.37, reflecting possible but unconfirmed presence on this route.
Last calculated May 21, 2026
Prediction (53%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (53% likelihood). B772 coverage (53%) shows how many B772 aircraft have Starlink.
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