Based on route-level Starlink data (37% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for ORF–IAD
United Airlines has installed Starlink on approximately 36.7% of its fleet, with rollout status 'installed' and medium confidence from Perplexity. Despite zero direct observations on the ORF->IAD route, recent high-confidence news confirms Starlink deployment on mainline and regional United aircraft, including inaugural flights and regional fleet completion. Given the fleet coverage is below 50% and rollout status is 'installed', the probability is anchored at the fleet coverage floor of 0.367, not exceeding it due to lack of route-specific observations. The evidence supports a likely probability with medium confidence.
Last calculated May 24, 2026
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Prediction (37%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (37% likelihood). A319 coverage (37%) shows how many A319 aircraft have Starlink.
Aircraft recently seen operating this flight
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