Based on route-level Starlink data (2% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for DUB–ALC
Aer Lingus has only 1.6% of its fleet equipped with Starlink, and there are no confirmed Starlink observations on the DUB->ALC route. The rollout status is 'rolling_out', and recent news confirms Starlink installation on at least one aircraft (EI-EIN) operating transatlantic flights, but no specific evidence supports Starlink on this short-haul route. Given the very low fleet coverage and zero observations, the probability is anchored to the fleet coverage ratio with a slight positive adjustment for the recent news of rollout, but not exceeding 0.026 (fleet ratio + 0.01) to remain conservative.
Last calculated May 24, 2026
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Prediction (15%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (2% likelihood). A320 coverage (2%) shows how many A320 aircraft have Starlink.
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