Based on route-level Starlink data (2% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for DUB–NCE
Aer Lingus has only 1.6% of its fleet equipped with Starlink, and there are no confirmed observations on the DUB->NCE route. The rollout status is 'rolling_out', indicating gradual installation. Recent news confirms Starlink on a transatlantic flight (DUB->JFK) but no direct evidence for this short-haul route. Given the very low fleet coverage and zero observations, the probability is anchored to the fleet ratio with a slight allowance for rollout progress, resulting in a low but non-zero probability.
Last calculated May 24, 2026
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Prediction (15%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (2% likelihood). A320 coverage (2%) shows how many A320 aircraft have Starlink.
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