Based on route-level Starlink data (2% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for MAN–BHD
Aer Lingus has only 1.6% fleet coverage with Starlink (1 of 64 aircraft) and no confirmed Starlink observations on the MAN->BHD route. The rollout status is 'rolling_out' with a medium confidence announcement of the first equipped aircraft. Recent news confirms Starlink on a transatlantic flight (to JFK) but no sightings or observations on this short-haul route. Given the very low fleet coverage and zero observations, the probability is anchored to the fleet ratio (1.6%) with no upward adjustment. The confidence is medium due to the confirmed rollout but lack of route-specific data.
Last calculated May 24, 2026
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Prediction (15%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (2% likelihood). AT76 coverage (2%) shows how many AT76 aircraft have Starlink.
Aircraft recently seen operating this flight
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