Based on route-level Starlink data (2% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for BHD–SOU
Aer Lingus has only 1 out of 64 aircraft equipped with Starlink, resulting in a low fleet coverage of 1.6%. There are no confirmed Starlink observations on the BHD->SOU route, so empirical observation ratio is 0%. Recent news confirms Starlink is active on at least one Aer Lingus aircraft (EI-EIN) on transatlantic routes, but no specific evidence supports presence on this regional route. Given the very low fleet coverage and zero observations, the probability is anchored close to the fleet ratio at 0.016. The rollout status is 'rolling_out' but fleet coverage is far below 30%, so no floor adjustment is applied. Overall confidence is medium due to confirmed news of rollout but lack of route-specific sightings.
Last calculated May 24, 2026
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Prediction (15%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (2% likelihood). AT76 coverage (2%) shows how many AT76 aircraft have Starlink.
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