Based on route-level Starlink data (16% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for MAN–DUB
Aer Lingus has only 1 Starlink-equipped aircraft (EI-EIN, an A330) out of 107, yielding 0.9% fleet coverage. While recent news confirms this aircraft is equipped and actively serving Starlink on transatlantic routes (JFK service documented in March 2026), MAN-DUB is a short-haul European route. The A330 is configured for long-haul operations and is unlikely to be regularly assigned to this route. Zero observations across the route history provide empirical validation that Starlink encounters are extremely rare here. The probability ceiling is anchored to fleet coverage (0.9%) with modest upward adjustment (0.12) only because the equipped aircraft technically exists and could theoretically operate this route, but operational routing strongly suggests otherwise.
Last calculated May 18, 2026
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Prediction (16%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (16% likelihood). AT76 coverage (16%) shows how many AT76 aircraft have Starlink.
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