Based on route-level Starlink data (2% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for DUB–MAN
Aer Lingus has only 1 out of 64 aircraft equipped with Starlink, yielding a fleet coverage of 1.6%. There are no observed flights with Starlink on the DUB->MAN route, so the empirical observation ratio is 0%. Recent news confirms at least one Aer Lingus aircraft (EI-EIN) is equipped and actively using Starlink on transatlantic flights, but no specific evidence exists for this route. Given the very low fleet coverage and zero observations on this route, the probability is anchored to the fleet ratio of 1.6%. The rollout status is 'rolling_out', but the fleet ratio is well below 30%, so no floor adjustment is applied. Overall confidence is medium due to confirmed news but lack of route-specific sightings or observations.
Last calculated May 24, 2026
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Prediction (15%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (2% likelihood). A320 coverage (2%) shows how many A320 aircraft have Starlink.
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