Based on route-level Starlink data (23% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for SMF–SAN
Alaska Airlines has a fleet coverage ratio of 72.2% with Starlink installed status, which mandates a minimum probability floor of 0.722 for all routes regardless of zero observed Starlink flights on SMF->SAN. The lack of route-specific observations and recent news means no upward adjustment is justified. The medium confidence in fleet data and rollout status supports a 'likely' confidence tier.
Last calculated May 23, 2026
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Prediction (23%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (23% likelihood). E75L coverage (23%) shows how many E75L aircraft have Starlink.
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