Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
Based on route-level Starlink data (25% likelihood)
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for CDG–JFK
Air France's CDG-JFK route shows zero confirmed Starlink sightings across 47 observed flights (0% empirical rate), which is the primary anchor for this estimate. The airline's fleet coverage is only 13.6% (30 of 220 aircraft), well below the threshold where Starlink becomes a reliable expectation. While recent news confirms Starlink rollouts are accelerating across competitors (British Airways, Qatar Airways, Hawaiian Airlines), Air France has only made an 'announced' commitment without confirmed installations on long-haul transatlantic aircraft. The most recent observation from May 2026 yielded no Starlink detection. Given the empirical observation rate of 0.0% and conservative guidance to not exceed observed rates by more than 0.10 absent route-specific evidence, the probability is capped at 0.08, reflecting only modest upside potential from the announced status and industry momentum.
Last calculated May 18, 2026
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Prediction (25%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (25% likelihood). B77W coverage (25%) shows how many B77W aircraft have Starlink.
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