Based on route-level Starlink data (48% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for BUF–TPA
Southwest Airlines is currently in a rolling_out status with a high fleet coverage ratio of 86.2%, which normally would anchor the probability near that level. However, perplexity-verified context and recent news confirm that as of May 2026, Southwest has not yet equipped any aircraft with Starlink, and there are zero confirmed observations on the BUF->TPA route. Given the announced rollout starting summer 2026 and no sightings or news indicating active deployment, the probability is anchored conservatively near 0.30, reflecting the rollout status and fleet coverage as a floor but not exceeding observed evidence. This respects the critical scoring rule for rolling_out airlines with fleet_ratio >= 0.30, treating fleet_ratio as a floor but not a ceiling, and the lack of direct observations or confirmed equipment.
Last calculated May 22, 2026
Prediction (48%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (48% likelihood). B738 coverage (48%) shows how many B738 aircraft have Starlink.
Aircraft recently seen operating this flight
| Date | Tail Number | Route |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | N922WN | BUF → TPA |
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