Based on route-level Starlink data (48% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for KOA–HNL
Southwest Airlines is currently in a rolling_out status with a high fleet coverage ratio of 86.2%, which normally would anchor the probability near the fleet ratio. However, no flights have been observed with Starlink on the KOA->HNL route, and Southwest has announced that rollout will begin in summer 2026 with zero aircraft currently equipped as of May 2026. Given the rollout status and timing, the probability is anchored conservatively at 0.30, reflecting the fleet coverage floor for rolling_out airlines but adjusted downward due to zero current equipment and observations. No recent news or sightings support a higher probability.
Last calculated May 22, 2026
Prediction (48%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (48% likelihood). B38M coverage (48%) shows how many B38M aircraft have Starlink.
Aircraft recently seen operating this flight
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