Based on route-level Starlink data (53% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for DEN–SAN
United Airlines has installed Starlink on over 300 regional aircraft and aims for over 800 equipped planes by end of 2026, representing a fleet coverage of 53.4%. However, there are no direct observations of Starlink on the DEN->SAN route, and recent news confirms Starlink primarily on regional and select mainline routes like EWR->LAS and the first 737-800 retrofit. Given the lack of route-specific observations and the fleet coverage slightly above 50%, the probability is anchored near the fleet coverage but adjusted downward to reflect zero direct observations on this route. The probability is set conservatively at 0.40, slightly below fleet coverage, reflecting medium confidence from rollout status and news but no direct route sightings.
Last calculated May 21, 2026
Prediction (53%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (53% likelihood). A21N coverage (53%) shows how many A21N aircraft have Starlink.
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