Based on route-level Starlink data (52% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for ORD–DCA
United Airlines has a fleet coverage of approximately 52.2% for Starlink-equipped aircraft, indicating a moderate rollout stage. However, there are no direct observations of Starlink on the ORD->DCA route, and no confirmed sightings specific to this route. Recent news confirms Starlink deployment on United's mainline fleet, but primarily highlights inaugural flights on other routes (EWR->LAS and Boeing 737-800 aircraft). Given the lack of route-specific observations and the fleet coverage ratio, the probability is anchored near the fleet coverage but slightly reduced to reflect the absence of direct evidence on this route. Community sightings confirm regional fleet rollout but do not specifically mention this mainline route. Therefore, a conservative estimate slightly below fleet coverage is appropriate.
Last calculated May 20, 2026
Prediction (52%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (52% likelihood). A319 coverage (52%) shows how many A319 aircraft have Starlink.
Aircraft recently seen operating this flight
| Date | Tail Number | Route |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | N26226 | ORD → FSD |
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