Based on route-level Starlink data (96% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for IAD–ROA
United Airlines has an installed rollout status with a fleet coverage of 51.9%, which mandates a minimum probability floor of 0.519 despite zero direct observations on the IAD->ROA route. The zero observations are due to incomplete flight tracking data rather than lack of Starlink installation. Recent news confirms active Starlink deployment on United's mainline and regional fleets, including over 300 regional aircraft fully equipped by early 2026. Given the medium confidence from Perplexity and multiple high-confidence news sources, the probability is anchored at fleet coverage with no upward adjustment due to lack of route-specific sightings.
Last calculated May 23, 2026
Prediction (96%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (96% likelihood). E45X coverage (96%) shows how many E45X aircraft have Starlink.
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