Based on route-level Starlink data (52% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for ORD–SFO
United Airlines is actively rolling out Starlink with about 52.2% fleet coverage, supported by recent high-confidence news of initial mainline flights equipped with Starlink and confirmed regional fleet completions. However, there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the ORD->SFO route, and the route-specific observation ratio is 0%. Given the fleet coverage and rollout status, the probability is anchored conservatively near the empirical observation rate plus a modest uplift (0.0 + 0.10 = 0.10) but adjusted upward to 0.37 to reflect the strong rollout momentum and recent news, while still respecting the lack of direct route observations. This results in a 'possible' confidence tier with medium confidence in the estimate.
Last calculated May 20, 2026
Prediction (52%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (52% likelihood). B39M coverage (52%) shows how many B39M aircraft have Starlink.
Aircraft recently seen operating this flight
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