Based on route-level Starlink data (9% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for GVA–CDG
Air France has a fleet coverage of 45% with Starlink installed on 121 of 269 aircraft, and rollout status is 'installed'. Although there are zero confirmed Starlink observations on the GVA->CDG route, the critical scoring rule for airlines with 'installed' status and fleet coverage below 50% sets the fleet ratio as the floor for probability. Recent news and perplexity context confirm ongoing rollout with about 20 aircraft equipped and a goal of 30% fleet coverage by end-2025, supporting a probability anchored near fleet coverage. No community sightings or route-specific observations reduce confidence, so the probability is set at the fleet coverage floor of 0.45 with a 'likely' confidence tier.
Last calculated May 22, 2026
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Prediction (15%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (9% likelihood). BCS3 coverage (9%) shows how many BCS3 aircraft have Starlink.
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